Wednesday, May 22, 2024


“You may choose to look the other way, but you can never say again that you did not know.”

— William Wilberforce


Big Shortage of Doctors for Chronically Ill Americans

doctor leaning against the wall

Story Highlights

  • A recent survey released by Merritt Hawkins reveals that not only are American hospitals and clinics facing a shortage of primary care physicians but also a shortage of medical specialists.
  • The survey attributes this to an aging population. However, the report also reveals that there is a shortage of pediatric subspecialties indicating a growing population of chronically sick children.
  • The findings also show that physicians are spending 23 percent of their time on non-clinical paperwork, which reduces the amount of time spent with patients, thus highlighting the pitfalls of “managed care.”

For more than a decade, there have been warnings that the chronic disease and disability epidemic in the United States is compromising the health of millions of Americans and putting a huge financial strain on the health care system.1 Now, a new report by the physician recruiter and staffing firm Merritt Hawkins of Dallas, Texas is highlighting the big shortage of doctors in the United States, including in primary care and pediatrics, which must be addressed to meet the needs of chronically ill children and adults. 

According to the Review of Physician and Advanced Practitioner Recruiting Incentives survey for 2019, health care organizations in the U.S. are aggressively recruiting primary care physicians and specialty physicians at a high rate, painting a picture of the physician shortage and the challenges the country is facing in meeting patient demand.2 3

The purpose of the survey was to examine recruitment trends and strategies used by hospitals and clinics around the country. The review was based on a sample of 3,131 search assignments for permanent physicians and advanced practitioners. The overall findings show that while demand for primary care physicians remains strong, aggressive recruitment is now being directed toward medical specialists.3

The survey attributes this trend to an aging population. However, there is also an increased prevalence of obesity, diabetes, drug addiction, mental illness and other health conditions that have been ascribed to “lifestyle” choices or social factors affecting behaviors, which are treated by specialists.3

Shortage of Pediatric Subspecialties

The survey highlights that, while more specialists will be needed to care for an aging population, at the other end of the age spectrum additional pediatric subspecialists will also be needed to care for more children who are chronically ill and disabled. The findings show that there is a growing demand for a wide range of pediatric subspecialties, for which there are currently a limited number of doctors.3

According to a 2017 Children’s Hospital Association survey that tracked appointment wait times for various types of pediatric subspecialists, the following pediatric subspecialties have the highest wait times for treatment (in descending order): Genetics – 20.8 weeks, Developmental – 18.7 weeks, Pain Management/Palliative – 12.1 weeks, Child and Adolescent Psychiatry – 9.9 weeks, Dermatology – 8.3 weeks, Allergy and Immunology – 7.7 weeks and Dentistry – 7.6 weeks.4

These figures indicate that there is a growing demand for doctors to enter pediatric subspecialties, since securing an appointment for a sick child can take months. The Merritt Hawkins survey notes that the wait times are not likely to improve based on the limited number of physicians being trained for pediatric specialties.3

While it is important to make sure pediatric patients needs are being met, the bigger question that needs to be addressed is: Why are numbers of chronically ill children continuing to rapidly increase in the U.S.?4

Why is There a Shortage of Physicians in the U.S?

The Association of American Medical Colleges (AAMC) projects that the U.S. will see a shortage of up to nearly 122,000 physicians by 2032 as the demand for physicians continues to grow faster than supply.5

The number of physicians entering the workforce each year is determined by the number of hospital residency positions available to train medical students so they can obtain medical licenses to practice in the U.S. These residency programs are funded by the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS). However, in 1997, Congress implemented the Balanced Budget Act (BBA) and froze funding for medical residencies in part due to the view that producing more physicians, particularly specialists, inflated health care costs. It was thought that capping the supply of doctors entering specialties would help keep expenditures in check.6

It is becoming clear that the longstanding policy of controlling the supply of physicians is failing, given increases in the numbers of chronically ill children and adults requiring care. 

Managed Care and the Loss of Autonomy Among Practicing Physicians

According to the 2019 Merritt Hawkins survey, average physician work hours tracked in the survey dropped by 2.4 percent from 2016 to 2018, which equates to approximately 20,000 fewer physician full-time equivalents (FTE) and millions of fewer patients seen.3

One of the major contributing factors affecting the number of hours physicians directly work with patients is the increasing amount of time spent on non-clinical paperwork and administrative tasks. The survey shows that physicians spend 23 percent of their total work hours engaged in non-clinical paperwork, time equivalent to the work hours of approximately 186,000 physician FTEs.

The burden of paperwork helps to explain why 80 percent of physicians responding to the Survey of America’s Physicians indicated they currently are overworked and overextended and do not have the time to see more patients or take on new duties. Paperwork also limits the number of health care problems physicians can address in one visit, which generates additional visits and creates a cycle of escalating demand.3 6

“Managed care” is cited as a reason for the increased amount of paperwork burdening physicians, who now have less and less face-to-face time with patients. Managed care is a term for health care systems owned by corporations and regulated by government that integrate the delivery and financing of health care. Managed care contrasts with most medical practice in the U.S. prior to the 21st century, which allowed doctors to make independent clinical decisions and bill for their services without interference from managers.7

An article published on Medical Economics explains the frustration that physicians in the U.S. are facing today: Kyle Varner, MD, an internist at the Tripler Army Medical Center in Hawaii and author of White Coat Cartels, laments that he spends more time in front of a computer documenting his time with patients than he actually spends with patients. “This is not because I am trying to create a good record of the care—it is because I have to play semantic games so that the hospital gets paid,” he says.”8

Under managed care, medical and health insurance industries have developed protocols and specific procedures to establish a “standard of care” that physicians are required to adhere to for all patients to, ostensibly, create better health outcomes and cut costs.9

For example, Dr. Varner explains that another challenge is dealing with insurance companies that try to convince him to prescribe certain drugs over others, which leads to a longer authorization process and paperwork to obtain his preferred choice for an individual patient. He says, “So, instead, I often adhere to their guidelines, which may not have the patient’s best interests at heart.”8

The standardization of medical practice forces physicians to follow a script and adhere to a “one-size-fits-all” cookie cutter cost savings approach to patient care, but at what price to the individual patient’s health? 


1 Bodenheimer T, Chen E, Bennett HD. Confronting the Growing Burden of Chronic Disease: Can the U.S. Health Care Workforce Do the Job? Health Affairs 2009; 28(1).
2 Heath S. What Clinician Recruitment Tactics Say About the Physician Shortage. Patient Engagement Hit July 11, 2019.
3 2019 Review of Physician and Advanced Practitioner Recruiting Incentives. Merritt Hawkins 2019.
4 Pediatric Workforce Shortages Persist. Children’s Hospital Association 2017.
5 AAMC News. New Findings Confirm Predictions on Physician Shortage. Association of American Medical Colleges Apr. 23, 2019.
6 Tully S. Trouble Seeing a Specialist? Here’s What’s Driving the ‘Doctor Drought’. Fortune July 15, 2019.
7 Deom M. et al. What doctors think about the impact of managed care tools on quality of care, costs, autonomy, and relations with patients. BMC Health Services Research 2010; 10 (331).
8 Medical Economics Staff. What’s ruining medicine for physicians: Paperwork and administrative burdens. Medical Economics Dec. 12, 2018.
9 Rastegar D. Health Care Becomes An IndustryThe Annals of Family Medicine 2004; 2(1): 79-83.

8 Responses

  1. Hmm… Just like the crisis Comrade Mao faced….
    But I’m sure there’s no connection. It’s not like communists have engaged in a Long March Through the Institutions since the late ’50’s….

  2. This just in! Right now many ceo’s and investors in the medical insurance services realm just kicked up their alligator boots on their rain forest 20 ft long office desks, lit cigars, having a good laugh at their guaranteed growth figures.

    One might blame the educational community for discriminating against hopeful entrants if they refuse to take vaccinations, made mandatory by educational institution edict, curbing the supply of entrants. One might blame the vaccination industry for making all their own workers sick, as mandatory vaccinations for employment keeps the doctors, nurses, and other staff right in line with rising chronic conditions statistics. One might blame the insurance companies for finding a way to institutionalize compulsory insurance, thereby driving the pricing up and creating a self perpetuating cycle where money comes before the value of human life. One might blame public representatives in government whom allowed all these industries to institutionalize a business model with inescapable conflicts of interest with inadequate checks and balances. Ethical independent doctors are disallowed practice within these corporate realms, that might explain it.

    I blame the consumer for being so clueless, so weak, so ignorant, so dependent, so misinformed, so under informed, so awash in propaganda, they are no longer capable of simply saying no. Hospitals don’t create cures. They create customers. The costs are so exorbitant now that an uninsured person could literally hire a full time nurse and doctor privately, buy all the gear, get 10x the comparative amount of hands on care, and still only have paid about a quarter or half of what the medical insurance industry charges them for that same effort ‘in the hospital’.

  3. OPEN MORE RESIDENCY SPOTS! There are hundreds of U.S. graduates who are not getting into residency programs because many residencies are filled with large % by foreigners! These foreign graduates carry no student debt whereas our students carry >$200,000. GIVE OUR GRADUATES priority! What’s the matter with this system? I trained in Family Medicine in one of the “fly over states” and I was the only white. Out of 10 of us in my year, I was the only American. Everyone else was from Pakistan, India, Saudi Arabia, S Korea, Canada and one from Central America. Unbelievably unfair system to our own graduates! No wonder student debt is the next housing bubble.

  4. You notice that they never looked for the cause of the chronic illness epidemic, they just put forth the assumption that an “aging population” will naturally be chronically ill, rather than healthy and vibrant. Nor did they ask why chronic illness is on the rise in children, with an astonishing 49% of children diagnosed with some kind of chronic illness. Instead, they point to a lack of doctors to take care of this problem, a problem caused by our sickness care industry and the huge food producers who make so much money selling the junk that attacks our health.

  5. A lot of people are so dependent on doctors and the medications they are prescribed. What about natural remedies and healthy nontoxic food?

  6. Instead of finding other careers, or proficient medical staff leaving the profession due to the harm being forced on them and other medical workers …… and because of illnesses caused to people by medical procedures, they ought to all stand together and fight this all-round, outrageous medical tyranny.

    We’ve all been taking too much nonsense and lack of freedom for too long. It is causing the loss of lives and it has to change. But is it too late? We know many doctors, even surgeons, do not have the correct qualifications, but are acting as though they have. It is why so many medical errors are made and why hospitals are killing more people than anything else.

    But, WHO at the top, that can actually sort this mess out is going to bother?

  7. The comments here are what should have been in the article.

    I have a friend who is training to be a doctor and the teaching is not to resuscitate anyone over SIXTY years of age. Don’t you think this ought to be reported in the mainstream media?? It means parents and grandparents are less likely to come out of hospital if they take a turn for the worse.

    Does anyone care about the mature and elderly who ought to be a lot healthier than they are? They ought NOT to be thought of as ‘finished’ and ‘useless’ to the community…. Toxic food and drink is more readily available to all, with that and vaccines lowering the immune systems, so who stands a chance at being healthy, let alone the very young and the older people?

    This is all taking its toll, on everyone! Even those at the top, in control are going to suffer due to the callous and indifferent way they treat sick, suffering people, aiding Big Pharma.

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