How Accurate is the Claim That Nearly All COVID Deaths are Among the Unvaccinated?

How Accurate is the Claim That Nearly All COVID Deaths are Among the Unvaccinated?

Opinion | The mainstream media has been widely reporting that almost every person dying of COVID-19 in the United States these days is an unvaccinated person. There have been many articles published during the past three weeks alleging that 99.2 percent of those who died of COVID-19 in the U.S. in May 2021 had not been vaccinated. All of these articles cite an “analysis” done by the Associated Press (AP) and published on June 24, 2021.1 2 3 4 5 6

Reportedly, the AP analysis was based on data provided by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) .1 2 3 4 5 6 One article by WebMD made reference to a “new report The Associated Press released looking at COVID-19 deaths during May 2021.”7

The impression left by the article describing the analysis is that the AP published some sort of paper or study breaking down the number of COVID-19 deaths that occurred among fully vaccinated people versus unvaccinated people. But this doesn’t appear to be the case. All the reporting about an AP analysis has been about a relatively short news article written by AP reporters Carla K. Johnson and Mike Stobbe and titled “Nearly all COVID deaths in U.S. are now among unvaccinated.”3

In their article, Johnson and Stobbe said the Associated Press analysis looked at CDC data and found “more than 18,000 COVID-19 deaths in May.” They did not explain specifically how they come up with that figure. They simply said that the “AP analyzed figures provided by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.”3

Where Did the COVID-19 Death Stats Come From?

If you go to the COVID Data Tracker section on the CDC’s website and look under the heading “Trends in Number of COVID-19 Cases and Deaths in the US Reported to CDC, by State/Territory” and sort by “Daily Deaths” under “View(left axis):” the bar chart will provide New Deaths per day and the 7-day Moving Avg Deaths. Under the chart, there is a subhead titled “Data Table for Daily Death Trends – United States.” If you click on it, a table will open up and display the New Deaths and the 7-Day Moving Avg, as well as Historic Deaths, in the U.S. all the way back to Jan. 22, 2020.8

If you add up the number of new deaths in May, the total comes out to 15,336, not the “more than 18,000” mentioned by Johnson and Stobbe. So where did that figure come from? If you go back to the “View(left axis):” box and sort by “Daily Cases” and then look at the 7-Day Moving Avg Cases for May 31, 2021, the figure provided is 18,137, but that is clearly not a total for the month and it has to do with coronavirus infections, not deaths.8

CDC Unsure What Percentage of Vaccinated People are Dying of COVID

Johnson and Stobbe said that “only about 150 of the more than 18,000 COVID-19 deaths in May were in fully vaccinated people.” Assuming that figure of 150 is accurate, the assumption—because there is no way to know for sure the vaccination status of everyone believed to have died of COVID—would be that the more than 17,850 remaining deaths must have involved unvaccinated people. As an article in Forbes in June noted, “In other words, 99.2% of the people who died from COVID-19 last month weren’t fully vaccinated against the virus.”5

But as Johnson and Stobbe noted:

The CDC itself has not estimated what percentage of hospitalizations and deaths are in fully vaccinated people, citing limitations in the data. Among them: Only about 45 states report breakthrough infections, and some are more aggressive than others in looking for such cases. So the data probably understates such infections, CDC officials said.3

If the CDC doesn’t know how many fully vaccinated people have died of COVID-19, then what methodology did the AP analysis use to conclude that only about 150 people in the U.S. died of COVID-19 in May? And, by extension then, how can it be concluded from the AP analysis that 99.2 percent COVID-19 deaths in May were among unvaccinated people? What are the other “limitations in the data” supposedly cited by the CDC?

Fauci Warns 99.2 Percent of COVID Deaths are Among Unvaccinated People

Judging by the media’s reporting of the findings of the AP analysis, the idea that people vaccinated for COVID-19 have little chance of dying of the disease while the unvaccinated have a high risk of death from it has been aggressively pushed—apparently in an effort to help increase vaccination rates, which have been slowing since April in the U.S.9 10

Now, even some high-profile U.S. health officials like Anthony Fauci, MD, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID), which co-developed with Moderna an mRNA COVID-19 vaccine being distributed under emergency use authorization (EUA), have started referring to the findings of the AP analysis, without actually citing the AP as the source. This gives the impression that they are government findings, thereby giving them more weight.11 12 13 In an interview on NBC’s “Meet the Press” on July 4, Dr. Fauci said:

Well, if you look at the number of deaths, about 99.2 percent of them are unvaccinated. About 0.8 percent are vaccinated. No vaccine is perfect, but when you talk about the avoidability of hospitalization and death, it’s really sad and tragic that most all of these are avoidable and preventable. I mean, obviously there are going to be some people, because of the variability among people and their response to vaccine that you’ll see some who are vaccinated and still get into trouble and get hospitalized and die. But the overwhelming proportion of people who get into trouble are the unvaccinated.13

Fact vs. Fiction?

As the 99.2 percent figure gets recycled in newspaper and magazine articles and on television, many Americans may come to accept it as a scientific fact. They will assume it is based on accurate data provided by the government or a peer-reviewed study published in a medical journal, rather than an article by a news agency that reads more like an opinion piece than anything else. Note the opening of the Johnson/Stobbe article:

Nearly all COVID-19 deaths in the U.S. now are in people who weren’t vaccinated, a staggering demonstration of how effective the shots have been and an indication that deaths per day—now down to under 300—could be practically zero if everyone eligible got the vaccine.3

Boy, talk about a case of false advertising disguised as science-based journalism. It would be helpful if the CDC would publish the data to back up the AP analysis.


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Note: This commentary provides referenced information and perspective on a topic related to vaccine science, policy, law or ethics being discussed in public forums and by U.S. lawmakers.  The websites of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (DHHS) provide information and perspective of federal agencies responsible for vaccine research, development, regulation and policymaking.

Click here to view References:

1 Al-Arshani S. Almost all of the current COVID-19 deaths are among those unvaccinated. Business Insider June 26, 2021.
2 Aspegren E, Yancey-Bragg N, Vargas, S. Nearly all COVID deaths in US now among unvaccinated; Sydney tightens pandemic restrictions amid outbreak: Latest COVID-19 updates. USA Today June 24, 2021.
3 Johnson CK, Stobbe M. Nearly all COVID deaths in US are now among unvaccinated. Associated Press June 29, 2021.
4 Lonas L. AP analysis: Almost all US coronavirus deaths among unvaccinated. The Hill June 25, 2021.
5 McEvoy J. 99% Of People Killed By Covid Last Month Were Unvaccinated, Analysis Finds. Forbes June 24, 2021.
6 MedicineNet. 99% of New COVID Deaths Are Unvaccinated. June 28, 2021.
7 McNamara D. Almost All U.S. COVID-19 Deaths Now in the Unvaccinated. WebMD June 28, 2021.
8 U.S. Centers for Disease Control Prevention. COVID Data Tracker.
9 Caldwell T. US Covid-19 vaccination pace is down by nearly half in the last month. These states slow to vaccinate may struggle this summer, expert warns. CNN May 22, 2021.
10 Smith-Schoenwalder C. CDC Study Confirms Coronavirus Vaccination Rate Has Slowed, Lowest Coverage Among Young Adults. U.S. News & World Report June 21, 2021.
11 Schnell M. Fauci: More than 99% of people who died from COVID-19 in June were not vaccinated. The Hill June 5, 2021.
12 Williams C. Fauci: 99.2% of US COVID-19 deaths involved unvaccinated people. Fox 5 New York July 4, 2021.
13 NBC News. Meet The Press Broadcast (Full) – July 4th, 2021. YouTube July 4, 2021.

34 Responses to "How Accurate is the Claim That Nearly All COVID Deaths are Among the Unvaccinated?"

  1. John Laurenson   July 12, 2021 at 4:48 pm

    These people will do and say anything to get access to your genetics.

    Reply
  2. ginny   July 12, 2021 at 5:04 pm

    YES! I have been screaming this for weeks- even wrote the AP and asked how they got their numbers when they admit the CDC does not have reliable data on vaccinated hospitalizations. As a former journalist, I am shocked that journalists keep forwarding this story and NO ONE is asking about methodology.

    Reply
  3. Marilyn Redmond   July 12, 2021 at 5:14 pm

    I found genetics is your generational mind set handed down to you. When I changed my mind set from addictions, mental illness, domestic violence, etc. I was able to acquire a healthy mind, body and soul Instead of dying 36 years ago, I am now 82 years old and doing well.

    I explain how I did it in my book, “Paradigm Busters” at Amazon. It is possible to to follow what Dr. Albert Schweitzer said. “I will tell you a secret, all healing comes from within.”

    Reply
  4. DAVID EADE   July 12, 2021 at 5:19 pm

    Now we know how the “earth is flat” rumor got started !🤣😂.

    Reply
  5. Daria   July 12, 2021 at 5:19 pm

    OmGosh! So true! This whole S-t show is all about to get the access to our genetics. They don’t care about the obvious nonsense of this performance or common sense any more. The goal is transhumanism and they won’t stop till we unite and stop them.

    Reply
  6. Mary J Nelson   July 12, 2021 at 5:20 pm

    I do not trust Fauci, the CDC or any other health agency.

    I will use prevention and treatment rather than any vaccine. IVM is useful.
    The Pharmaceuticals, especially Pfizer, have been sued for at least millions, or maybe some for billions of $$$$$$ for fraudulent claims.

    Read the products inserts carefully since they are truthful there where they CAN be sued if they lie.

    Reply
    • Nick Quinlan   July 12, 2021 at 7:08 pm

      Mary, there are NO product inserts in these shots that aren’t vaccines. I saw one insert, and all they say is, Intentionally left blank.

      Reply
    • Nick Quinlan   July 12, 2021 at 8:05 pm

      There are no ingredient inserts in the EU authorization shots. I have seen the inserts, and all they say is “Intentionally left blank”.

      Reply
  7. Robert Cannon   July 12, 2021 at 5:46 pm

    In UK it is a lot different so I don’t trust CDC data. Many more unvaccinated get infected, by a factor of 8 or 9, but a lot more fully vaccinated die from it, so the total death rate is about the same per million. Comparing fully vaccinated to unvaccinated the death rate is 8x for the fully vaccinated. Repeat. Vaccinated have 8x time higher death rate % compared to unvaccinated. I saw data for over age 50 in Israel and it was more like 2x in that age group. Still higher though.
    So the vaccine does not protect you more from dying necessarily. But it does greatly reduce your chances of catching it. If you do though- look out. I’d like to see the data for the over 65 age group though.
    https://gnews.org/1357351/

    Reply
  8. INGRID C DURDEN   July 12, 2021 at 5:49 pm

    I cannot believe how everyone seems to blindly trust these same people that told them lies over and over. Luckily I have a few friends who use their brains. Most just ran to the vaccinating post and got their shots. I am waiting to see what is going to happen on the long term, because nobody knows. It just appears to me, that in the long term most man made mediciine does more harm than good.

    Reply
  9. friend   July 12, 2021 at 6:14 pm

    It is all just a communist-oriented government propaganda. I used to live in one.
    We’re are slowly being taken over without even knowing it. Wake up

    Reply
    • Amuzed_Traveler   August 15, 2021 at 12:34 pm

      No, I think a lot of us know we’re being taken over by Communist tyrants, we’re just not willing to do anything about it.

      Reply
  10. J Hee   July 12, 2021 at 6:23 pm

    I did read 4457 breakthru cases were hospitalized in June among the fully vaccinated, and 898 of those hospitalized died. I believe that number more than I believe Fauci who because of his constant lying to the American People beginning with “where the virus came from” in his own emails. He has lost all credibility. However, if they retire him there will be another just like him to promote the government’s stated goals. Better to know Fauci is a liar than to have to waste time waiting for his replacement to show us he/she too is a liar.

    Reply
  11. BMC Redirect   July 12, 2021 at 6:36 pm

    The UNTAXED and UNREGULATED Internet is the LONG, LONG, LOOONNNG arm of USMostCorruptNation’s WorthlessCommieCongress spreading fear-mongering propaganda. Terrifying Times!

    “We’re from the government, and we’re here to help.” JOKE?

    FREEDOM OF VACCINATION CHOICE, NO MATTER WHAT!

    Reply
  12. Nick Quinlan   July 12, 2021 at 7:10 pm

    Dr.Reiner Fuellmich is an international lawyer that successfully sued Volkswagen and Duetch Bank, he is working with 1,000 international lawyers, and 10,000 doctors and researchers, in putting together a class action lawsuit against members of the Davos group, the CDC, WHO, and all responsible for the corona pandemic.
    Here he has Dr. David Martin, a brilliant patent lawyer, who has put together all of the evidence, following the patent trail, going back to 2002.
    It’s a brilliant, thorough examination of the evidence he has put together. It is rather long, but worth every minute of your time to watch it all.
    https://brandnewtube.com/watch/a-manufactured-illusion-dr-david-martin-with-reiner-fuellmich-9-7-21_hPChWe1no7nxGDM.html?fbclid=IwAR3J6UySL3ZG7XTKpne-1-iM5P7G2mXDAIDxgO2CVbRzIrd9Ed58QMv1qEY

    Reply
  13. Richard Pawlak   July 12, 2021 at 8:12 pm

    You are actually a lot more likely to catch it if vaccinated. People should really check the sources of data! The person who invented the RNA vaccines just spoke out against it, & he soon will be discredited & censored! Good luck humanity. X

    Reply
    • Arel   July 13, 2021 at 7:37 am

      I listened to an interview with Dr. Robert Malone and you are correct not only have they not been transparent with what they know about it; through the minimal animal testing they have data on, they are now finding the lipid nanoparticles are settling into the bone marrow, lymph nodes and ovaries which is very disturbing. The long term effects could be leukemia, lymphoma, reproductive issues and even auto immune disease; it is very disturbing.

      Reply
  14. Kim   July 12, 2021 at 8:39 pm

    The PCR testing number of cycles is now different for the vaccinated versus the unvaccinated. The vaccinated are therefore less likely to be tested as positive for covid. This of course skews all the results.

    Reply
  15. Chris   July 12, 2021 at 9:19 pm

    Thank you Nick – that sound spot on. Will watch.

    Reply
  16. bruce a dickson   July 12, 2021 at 10:05 pm

    This article tells me our K-college education system has not yet educated people to identify and resist governemnt propaganda so common during WW I and WW II. Current disinformation hs the same blatant agenda of promoting group-think.

    Reply
  17. Tony   July 12, 2021 at 10:46 pm

    As I always say these days – whatever you hear in the news regarding Covid…assume the opposite is the truth. Of course, they leave out some things, so you still need to do your own research from independent sources so you can learn how to support your immune system and stay healthy, as well as things like Ivermectin, HCQ, nebulized H2O2, etc.

    Reply
  18. CATT   July 12, 2021 at 11:42 pm

    Everyone I know of or have heard of dying in the past few months are strictly after receiving a COVBID shot. I have one aunt and one cousin who both died shortly after receiving their second COVID shots. It’s a terrible thing.

    Reply
  19. michael   July 13, 2021 at 12:18 am

    This ploy of the media incorrectly using CDC data, then Fauci citing the data, and then media’s publishing the misinformation far and wide is exactly how we went to war on fabricated WMDs. No one was ever held accountable which why misinforming the people is legitimate public policy whether sending people to die in fake wars, or faking just about everything concerning this pandemic. Wars kill people, CDC, FDA, WHO, Media, Medicine, Big Tech is about killing people to get them under their control. I have a hunch they may have gone a bridge to far, and escaping accountability, well, we will see.

    Reply
  20. err   July 13, 2021 at 4:56 am

    the article quotes Johnson and Stobbe as writing:
    “The CDC itself has not estimated what percentage of hospitalizations and deaths are in fully vaccinated people, citing limitations in the data. Among them: Only about 45 states report breakthrough infections, and some are more aggressive than others in looking for such cases. So the data probably understates such infections, CDC officials said.” 3

    and it gives a footnote 3, which is listed below as
    “3 Johnson CK, Stobbe M. Nearly all COVID deaths in US are now among unvaccinated. Associated Press June 29, 2021.”

    I expected the footnote would lead to a site confirming “the cdc said” or “the cdc estimates”

    Can the author please reference a site which confirms what the cdc said.

    Reply
  21. Cher   July 13, 2021 at 10:24 am

    Nick, I am about half way through the interview with Dr. Martin and it is absolutely mind blowing. I ask myself how these people are getting away with these crimes, but the answer is, quite literally, right in front of me. Whenever I try to talk to my husband about this issue, he completely shuts down and “doesn’t want to hear it”. I live in Canada and the constant propaganda and fear mongering has worn down most of our population. I have to get my daily reading in from sites like this, Dr. Mercola, and News from the Underground just to keep my resolve. I encourage EVERYONE to watch this interview. It’s gut wrenching.

    Reply
  22. Esther   July 13, 2021 at 11:53 am

    I’m going to cut and paste Nick Quinlan’s post again, as I think this review on the patents is an important one….

    Dr.Reiner Fuellmich is an international lawyer that successfully sued Volkswagen and Duetch Bank, he is working with 1,000 international lawyers, and 10,000 doctors and researchers, in putting together a class action lawsuit against members of the Davos group, the CDC, WHO, and all responsible for the corona pandemic.
    Here he has Dr. David Martin, a brilliant patent lawyer, who has put together all of the evidence, following the patent trail, going back to 2002.
    It’s a brilliant, thorough examination of the evidence he has put together. It is rather long, but worth every minute of your time to watch it all.
    https://brandnewtube.com/watch/a-manufactured-illusion-dr-david-martin-with-reiner-fuellmich-9-7-21_hPChWe1no7nxGDM.html?fbclid=IwAR3J6UySL3ZG7XTKpne-1-iM5P7G2mXDAIDxgO2CVbRzIrd9Ed58QMv1qEY

    Reply
    • Nev Buck   August 21, 2021 at 8:14 pm

      Excellent comment. Esther.
      There is an enormous amount of data and information being suppressed by the “Parties” with their own – agendas and motivations.
      Many years ago I discovered that if I opened my mind, my brains would not fall out.
      I also became aware of the direct and subliminal mind control ( Indoctrination) and the many methodologies used to control the thinking and actions of the citizens of many countries. Since the beginning of human and animal existence FEAR is the TOOL used to gain CONTROL and DOMINATION.
      The TRUTH is the enemy of the parties that have their hidden agendas and motivations.
      It is often stated that “Money Talks” — It often “SCREAMS” of corruption.
      I observe the – Beneficiaries – of many actions.
      Hopefully the TRUTH will emerge from the legal process of “Discovery” of data and information to be presented to the Law Courts for their determinations and Judgements – That has very successfully recently occurred in the Supreme and High Courts of Ireland and Denmark.
      The GREDIBILITY of the WHO – (World Health Organization) – Bill Gates is the single largest financial contributor to the WHO – Anthony Fauci – CDC – (Center od Disease Control and Prevention) – the FDA – VAERS – etc are under the microscope.
      If we choose to listen and believe the pathetic Mainstream Media, Politicians, the very powerful and influential multi-billion dollar Pharmaceutical Industry, then may I suggest, that we are our own worst enemy – gullible – indoctrinated – delusional and naive.
      Very interesting times ahead.
      Kindest regards.

      Reply
  23. Tom   July 14, 2021 at 9:09 pm

    This is another of the thousands of lies created to make people fearful of dying and then run out and get an injection which then puts their lives at great risk. Ignore this nonsense from the media.

    Reply
  24. Russel Deroche Jr   July 15, 2021 at 12:57 am

    Science is never perfect with imperfect data. Since some states’ reporting is questionable, it is impossible to state actual numbers or percentages. The data is imperfect so any absolute deductions from it is still imperfect. If humans ever publish perfect data, we can consider ourselves as a god! Vaccines work for MOST people and the number of infections and deaths prove it for those NOT vaccinated. As imperfect as the previous sentence is, it is the truth! Quit trying to publish absolute numbers because you CANNOT verify them!!!

    Reply
  25. Rose Bronikowski   July 15, 2021 at 3:49 pm

    All government agencies are nothing but liars, same is true for the so called media. Recently came across a video from a group in Spain, so it was in Spanish with English subtitles. They say that several so called vaccine vials were checked and they contained 99.995% graphine oxide, which is not only a poison but also a great conductor. They also said that N-Acetyl-L-Cysteine 600 mg should be taken by the “vaccinated” to counteract this poison. The FDA just recently announced it’s intent to ban N-Acetyl-L-Cysteine. I take this as proof positive it is a protective against graphie. Also, they offered proof that this was in the 2019 flu vaccine and wherever the G-5 rolled out, those vaccinated with that flu vaccine got sick and died. The 5G Is a part of this. No real virus!

    Reply
  26. JT   July 16, 2021 at 5:32 pm

    And the propaganda continues to be more blatant. I cannot wrap my brain around why the masses, including many in my family, do not see the glaring discrepancies, hear the obvious lies, or just smell the stink of coercion and division! How are they so blind and deaf to it all is beyond me. Maybe it’s just easier to be in denial. Sigh.
    Anyway, I would like to see (real) data on how soon after finishing shot series, do people aged 60+ get a cancer diagnosis. There are 2 women (~70 yo) in my family who got their gene therapy earlier this year, and both just got a breast cancer dx within the same week of July. Striking “coincidence”.

    Reply
  27. SmithUnuck   July 16, 2021 at 5:44 pm

    Sputnik V vaccination has begun in Slovakia. The catch of the Russian vaccine to the motherland was accompanied away a state insinuation and led to the abdication of Prime Assist Igor Matovich and a revamp of the government. As a denouement, the wilderness received the Russian vaccine, in defiance of the items that neither the European regulator nor the WHO has still approved it.
    In neighboring Hungary, which approved the fritter away of Sputnik in February as the beforehand in Europe, more than 50% of the perfected natives has already been vaccinated; in Russia – a bantam more than 10%. In Slovakia, five thousand people signed up in behalf of the Sputnik vaccination.
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    Reply
  28. Bonnie   July 19, 2021 at 8:54 pm

    Why aren’t they counting the people who have had COVID-19! I’ve been doing my own survey..check out counters, restaurants, any body I come into contact with ..and I am amazed how many positive responses I’ve received.. hundreds of people have had Covid-19… did not get the vaccine.. and don’t ever plan to get the vaccine… yet all the news ever covers is “The Unvaccinated “.. they don’t even take into account that there are thousands probably millions who have had COVID-19 and have naturally acquired antibodies.

    Reply
  29. Kaspar Zyzpenault   July 20, 2021 at 12:01 pm

    It is some comfort to read thoughtful comments. In many such open discussions after articles pointing out all the discrepancies left in plain sight by the media it is clear we are not alone. It is a kind of self administered intelligence test to try and read into, and it reveals more than often how gullible most media consumers remain as our collective experience I’d say is assaulted and our innermost feelings of mortality, justice, and truth are challenged.

    Reply

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