A Vaccine for Coronavirus by Autumn?

A Vaccine for Coronavirus by Autumn?

There appears to be a consensus opinion among leading public health authorities that a coronavirus vaccine for COVID-19 would take at least 12-18 months to develop, test and be ready for market distribution. The projection assumes that an aggressive development schedule would produce a licensed vaccine proven safe and effective for use in humans no earlier than March-August 2021.

On Feb. 11, 2020, the director general of the World Health Organization (WHO), Dr. Tedros Ghebreyesus, said that the first vaccine for COVID-19 could be ready within 18 months.1 A week earlier Thomas Breuer, MD of British pharmaceutical corporation GlaxoSmithKline plc had noted that even if development of a vaccine for COVID-19 were to be done at an accelerated pace, approval of the vaccine would “take at least 12 to 18 months.”2

At a White House press conference on Feb. 25 Anthony Fauci, MD of the U.S. National Institutes of Health (NIH) estimated it would take “at least a year to a year and a half at best” to develop a vaccine for COVID-19.3 Dr. Fauci has subsequently reiterated this estimate on various occasions.4 5 6

Keep in mind that this time frame of 12 to 18 months is extremely ambitious even with the short cuts that are being taken—the elimination of normal government regulatory procedures designed to ensure the safety of vaccines and other pharmaceutical products. A good example of this “fast-tracking” is the elimination of testing vaccines on animals before proceeding to human trials.

In an article in Live Science, Nicoletta Lanese writes:

The lengthy process [of developing a vaccine] requires that scientists first give the vaccine to animals to determine whether it’s safe and effective at preventing the disease in question. Only after passing through iterative tests in animal models, and being adjusted along the way, can a formulation be tested in human trials.7

It normally takes 15 to 20 years to develop a vaccine, according to Mark Feinberg, president and CEO of the International AIDS Vaccine Initiative. “When you hear predictions about it taking at best a year or a year and a half to have a vaccine available, there’s no way to come close to those timelines unless we take new approaches,” Feinberg said.8

A recent article in The Vaccine Reaction highlighted some of the most advanced programs involved in developing a vaccine for COVID-19. All of those research efforts include skipping over the animal trials phase and going straight to human trials. Moderna, Inc. of Cambridge, Massachusetts began its human trials on Mar. 16, 2020 using an experimental mRNA COVID-19 vaccine. Several other companies will follow over the next few months, but none of them expect to have a final product ready for licensure by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) this year.9

That’s why it was surprising to hear European Commission (EC) president Ursula von der Leyen say on Mar. 17 that she was hopeful a vaccine for COVID-19 could be available for use by September 2020. Following conversations with managers of German biotechnology firm CureVac AG, von de Leyen said:

The European Union provided them (CureVac) up to €80 million ($89.4 million), and I hope that, with this support, we can have a vaccine on the market perhaps before autumn.10

She added, “They are highly specialized in this field, and it’s their prediction that they might be able, towards fall, to have the possibility to have a vaccine that is fighting coronavirus.”11

A vaccine for COVID-19 ready to roll out in just six months? It sounds wildly optimistic, particularly when you consider that even if a vaccine were to be approved by September 2020, it would take additional time to mass produce and distribute it. If short cuts for the development of a COVID-19 vaccine are being taken in order to meet a 12-to-18-month schedule, then you have to question what kind of short cuts may be adopted to speed things up even further.

In a cautionary note sounded by Professor Jonathan Kimmelman, PhD, director of biomedical ethics at McGill University, Dr. Kimmelman writes:

Outbreaks and national emergencies often create pressure to suspend rights, standards and/or normal rules of ethical conduct. Often our decision to do so seems unwise in retrospect.8

In response to von de Leyen’s six-month projection, a spokesperson for the European Medicines Agency (EMA) said that it would be at least six months before proposed vaccines could be tested in larger clinical trials and 12 to 18 months before a vaccine for COVID-19 could be ready for approval.11


References:

Note: This commentary provides referenced information and perspective on a topic related to vaccine science, policy, law or ethics being discussed in public forums and by U.S. lawmakers.  The websites of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (DHHS) provide information and perspective of federal agencies responsible for vaccine research, development, regulation and policymaking.

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16 Responses to "A Vaccine for Coronavirus by Autumn?"

  1. Redpill   April 3, 2020 at 10:19 am

    First of all I would like the people who are on the there will be a vaccine by September or in the next 12-18 train please sign up for the human trials. If they are so eager to let loose a dangerous vaccine on the world they should offer themselves up on the altar. However, we all know that vaccines are NOT studied for 15 to 20 years as demonstrated by the lawsuits won by ICAN that are now online. The MMR vaccine that is currently in use wasn’t even studied till it was on the market for 7 years. At that point it had already been given to millions around the world. Dr. Stanley Plotkin couldn’t give any information when questioned in a legal deposition when the MMR was actually tested which gives a strong indication that trials were not done and it was grandfathered in. His response was the FDA was responsible for putting that information on the vaccine manufactures insert.

    SARS vaccine development was halted almost 20 years ago because it was deemed to dangerous to give to humans. Here is a link to a couple of them:

    Immunization with Modified Vaccinia Virus Ankara-Based Recombinant Vaccine against Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Is Associated with Enhanced Hepatitis in Ferrets
    https://jvi.asm.org/content/78/22/12672.abstract

    SARS-CoV-2 Vaccine Recommended Readings
    https://jameslyonsweiler.com/2020/02/07/2019-ncov-vaccine-recommended-readings/

    There is a phenomenon called Immunity Enhancement or Vaccine Enhancement.

    “Studies have suggested that coronavirus vaccines carry the risk of what is known as vaccine enhancement, where instead of protecting against infection, the vaccine can actually make the disease worse when a vaccinated person is infected with the virus. The mechanism that causes that risk is not fully understood and is one of the stumbling blocks that has prevented the successful development of a coronavirus vaccine.”

    “I understand the importance of accelerating timelines for vaccines in general, but from everything I know, this is not the vaccine to be doing it with,” Dr Peter Hotez, dean of the National School of Tropical Medicine at Baylor College of Medicine, told Reuters.
    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-vaccines-insight/as-pressure-for-coronavirus-vaccine-mounts-scientists-debate-risks-of-accelerated-testing-idUSKBN20Y1GZ.

    You know if Peter -I haven’t meet a vaccine I wasn’t in love with-Hotez is against development of a SARS-CORONAVIRUS vaccine, something is really voodoo.

    Reply
  2. Redpill   April 3, 2020 at 10:26 am

    A question that needs to be answered is, people who were part of the SARS vaccine trials in China in 2005, are they among the deaths AND is it possible because they have been challenged with the SARS vaccine in the past, are they more capable of transmitting the virus to others:
    SARS Vaccine Development
    https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3371787/

    Reply
  3. Lawrence Greenberg   April 3, 2020 at 6:07 pm

    It will be a cold day in hell before I allow these people to inject their poison they call a “vaccine” into my body of the body of any member of my family.

    Reply
  4. Louise Gallagher   April 3, 2020 at 6:23 pm

    I agree Redpill. Fear mongering to get accelerated vaccine is dangerous. I would prefer they find a cure and worry later about vaccines. Bill Gates must be jumping around naked with happiness with all of this as he is the king of vaccines.

    Reply
  5. Ian   April 3, 2020 at 6:55 pm

    You can’t make a vaccine for something that doesn’ exist. https://www.drrobertyoung.com/post/dismantling-the-viral-theory

    Reply
  6. Sam   April 3, 2020 at 7:40 pm

    Please do not take this vaccine. It will most likely kill you and it will give you this virus. In such a short time, there is no way it will be properly studied on humans.This is the governments agenda 21 plan to continue making people sick and depopulate.

    Reply
  7. Lon   April 3, 2020 at 7:42 pm

    I am ok with whatever —IF— and only if they allow individuals to refuse the vaccine. If a person of legal age and mentally competent wants to play “canary In the coal mines” that should be his decision just as I have the right to refuse to Play that part.

    Reply
  8. Alanna Siemens   April 3, 2020 at 10:49 pm

    Exactly! There already is one. It’s called the flu vaccine & nobody wants it. I will take assisted suicide before I will be forced to vaccinate. Pray for everyone to WAKE UP!!!!

    Reply
  9. debra   April 3, 2020 at 11:04 pm

    This was just on facebook, so it will probably be taken down. No picture, just audio.
    https://www.facebook.com/slarty.bartfast.79656/videos/212193813446420/UzpfSTEwMDAzOTY3NDA3MDk1MDoyNTEzNDg0MjIyMjA1ODI2/

    Reply
  10. Saundra M Augustus   April 4, 2020 at 2:02 am

    I never heard any officials, heading this up, talk about boosting one’s own immune system by eating properly, taking some supplements, managing stress, getting good sleep and laying off sugar. I’m 72 years old and after taking care of my health for the last eight years I feel better than I have when I was in my twenties.

    Reply
  11. bob   April 4, 2020 at 8:47 am

    Sadly, there will be many very frightened people that will be more than happy to submit to needle, tested or not. You will see them fighting in line to be first.

    Reply
  12. Cheryl   April 4, 2020 at 10:12 am

    I agree with Lawrence. You better be ready to pull me out by gunpoint. You won’t touch me with that poison. Big pharma is dancing a jig. Think of the earnings potential. If they can force vaccinations, what’s next in the name of protecting your health? They will be at your door confiscating all weapons in the name of public health. Wake up people!

    Reply
  13. Brian James   April 7, 2020 at 4:58 pm

    Apr 6, 2020 Henry Kissinger & Bill Gates Call For Mass Vaccination & Global Governance

    The global population living in western countries have been taught for more than a generation to live in a constant state of fear ever since 9/11.

    https://youtu.be/c4Aps2NPe54

    Apr 7, 2029 Look Who’s Coming to the Rescue!

    https://youtu.be/H6rMKAIj9f8

    Reply
  14. Kay   April 9, 2020 at 1:52 pm

    Funny how all the ‘references’ are only links back to this article…

    Reply
  15. Theodore Wells   April 10, 2020 at 3:40 am

    The aids epidemic started back in 1980 with the HIV virus.
    That was 40 years ago, and they still have not been able to come up with a vaccine for it

    Reply
  16. D   April 10, 2020 at 12:28 pm

    I will not take a vaccine. They know that many will die from it. Some won’t of course. I always say, let us see everyone in the federal government, or CEO’s, etc. take it first. However, if anyone comes out, and says, okay, I will be vaccinated, they really won’t be giving them the actual vaccine. Some, will actually believe it. If it does happen. I might as well ask this here. Does anyone believe something big could happen between April 19th and May 1st, 2020? Many bad things have happened during these dates. I feel something will happen. They could say, that now a bigger strain of this virus (cold/flu) is so bad that they will definitely have to have everyone vaccinated. You probably will have to have a card that says you were vaccinated. If not, you won’t be able to fly, go to college, do most things. See, they have been getting ready for this for many, many, many decades. Pushing things in by increments. Plus, the truth never getting out to the people. Also, people not looking for other information, to look for the truth. What started me, was many years ago someone said to listen to the Iron Mountain tapes. Tells you exactly what has, and will happen in this world.

    Reply

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